indicating that the market over-optimism

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A shares four quarter is expected to usher in a limited rebound
Cinda that from the macroeconomic level, although three quarters of this year, GDP grew only 7.4%, the growth rate has declined for seven consecutive quarters,ugg boots for sale, but fortunately qoq seasonally adjusted data for 2 consecutive months of growth, and the first three quarters of this year, growth is still slightly higher than expected economic growth target this year, the State Council, indicating that economic growth, though still in dropping, but is beginning to bear signs of stabilization. Overall, three quarters of China's economic growth continues to decline, industrial growth to new lows,ugg boots uk sale, investment growth rebound is not as expected, import and export data is still in the lower position, the economy rebounded in the third quarter basic fundamentals fall. But still observed in the current economy has gradually stabilized signs: ring data recovery for several months, showed the first three quarters of industrial added value rose, investment growth picked up slightly, import and export growth picked up significantly in the fourth quarter of the domestic economy rebounded slightly compared with the probability of Great view from the liquidity, money supply, and the scale of financing after the bottom rebounded significantly, liquidity continued to improve. From the point of view of money supply, expected in the fourth quarter, m1, m2 growth still continued to rise, m2 is expected to continue to maintain more than 14% level, but the recovery rate is not too large. From financing scale analysis, in 2012 three quarters of credit supply below market expectations, but the total social financing record highs, indicating that the real economy through commercial banks to finance the credit channel proportion has gradually declined. At the same time,Ugg Boots Australia, a substantial increase in the total social financing, indicating that the real economy has been significantly improved liquidity, expected future growth with continued investment in infrastructure improvement loan structure will continue to improve. Looking fourth quarter, the trade surplus is expected to remain slightly expanded, plus yuan appreciation trend still continue for some time, new foreign exchange managed to maintain positive growth, the central bank will reduce the pressure on the money supply, lowering the need will be reduced from quasi- market sentiment point of view, in the maintenance of stability and the economy is expected to bottom out expectations,Ugg Boots Australia, investor sentiment improved. A share trading account is a measure of the proportion of the important indicators of investor enthusiasm, historical statistical regularities that when this index exceeds 15%, indicating that the market over-optimism, the market has peaked risk when this indicator is less than 5% , indicating that the market is too pessimistic, the market has bottomed out hope. Currently this indicator was 4.27%, at a historic low position, the fourth quarter is expected to rise steadily sentiment Cinda noted that there are indications that the macroeconomic being stabilized, the fourth quarter is expected to rebound slightly. With economic stabilization and eighteen maintenance of stability expected,ugg outlet, the market is expected to change the pattern of unilateral weakness. On the other hand, eighteen after ipo restart is expected to strongly GEM large non-lifting pressure approaching, three quarterly performance is not satisfactory, end funds may exacerbate tensions, the U.S. fiscal cliff risk has not been released, but these bearish stock market upside constraints . Therefore, on the whole, the stock market will usher in the fourth quarter is expected to rebound, but the rebound is limited, the market in order to build a box-shaped mid-way shock bottom probability.
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